Countdown to 2008-2009:

Tag: Quantitative Analysis

These items have all been tagged with the tag "Quantitative Analysis", You can see other tags in the Tag Cloud

Afternoon Games vs. Night Games Statistical Comparison

Please refer to the related article which has been published before.

Continue here to get the regular season afternoon games vs. night games statistical comparison.




Big Cactus Effect, What Changed in Phoenix?

 

It's the same "old" story. They said he couldn't run, they said the Suns couldn't even make it to playoffs with him.

 

Here is briefly what changed after Shaq has come to Phoenix:

 

EFFICIENCY
PACEOFFENSEDEFENSE
××

 

He slightly (0.29 more points per 100 possessions) helps Suns' offense but the team has allowed 1.67 more points per 100 possessions. That points out worse defense since he has arrived.

 

 

SHOOTING
eFG%OPP eFG%
×

 

The Suns are shooting with a better effective field goal percentage while opposing teams are also shooting better to Suns' rim. 

 

REBOUNDING
OR%DR%

 

This is what Shaq significantly changed. Better offensive (2.52% increase) and defensive (3.19% increase) rebounding percentage!

 

FREE THROWS
FTM/FGAOPP FTM/FGA
×

 

The Suns are getting to foul line more and also allowing opponents to take more free throws.

 

TURNOVERS
TO/POSSOPP TO/POSS
××

 

Turnovers per possession (1.7% more) are hurting! Opponent turnovers forced (-1.67%) has also decreased.

 

 




Trades Working Out?

What you will get in this article is kind of simple and easily comparable stuff. Don't expect me to make judgements about how smart the player movements were. This study should be considered as a comparison tool which helps us have some insight whether the trades, on the paper, seem to help out teams or not! It was just a matter of me listing traded players one under the other and putting stats (for the same player) together.




The Impact Of Rest Days On Team Efficiency & Pace

 

B2B

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
New Orleans 9.4   Toronto -12.4
San Antonio 8.0   Seattle -9.0
New Jersey 5.1   Portland -4.9
Charlotte 4.2   Washington -3.6
Minnesota 3.6   Dallas -3.2
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
Seattle -10.3   New Orleans 12.9
New York -5.6   Boston 7.3
Chicago -2.9   Charlotte 7.1
Dallas -2.7   Denver 7.1
Memphis -2.5   Utah 6.6

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

 

3rdIN4

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
Dallas 3.9   New Jersey -12.4
Golden State 3.1   Milwaukee -9.0
Utah 3.0   Boston -4.9
Memphis 2.6   Indiana -3.6
Phoenix 1.8   Denver -3.2
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
Boston -3.7   Sacramento 12.9
Chicago -3.4   Atlanta 7.3
Minnesota -3.0   New York 7.1
Detroit -2.6   LA Lakers 7.1
New Jersey -2.3   Dallas 6.6

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

4thIN5

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
LA Clippers 15.7   LA Clippers -10.6
Portland 9.7   Boston -8.4
Chicago 8.8   New York -7.3
Indiana 8.4   Detroit -7.3
San Antonio 7.3   Philadelphia -6.5
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
Seattle -19.1   Milwaukee 20.3
Detroit -13.1   Cleveland 18.1
New York -10.1   San Antonio 17.0
Golden State -8.4   Dallas 16.3
Phoenix -7.3   Houston 14.5

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

 

1 DAY REST

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
Detroit 4.3   Dallas -3.4
New York 3.7   Boston -3.3
Boston 2.7   New York -3.1
Seattle 2.7   Detroit -2.9
Minnesota 2.3   Philadelphia -2.1
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
Philadelphia -2.0   Philadelphia 1.9
Toronto -1.9   Cleveland 1.5
Milwaukee -1.8   San Antonio 1.0
Cleveland -1.6   Dallas 1.0
Phoenix -1.2   Houston 0.9

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

2 DAYS REST

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
Toronto 6.5   Sacramento -5.8
Cleveland 6.3   Orlando -5.3
Houston 5.9   New York -4.6
Charlotte 5.8   Detroit -3.6
New Orleans 5.2   Washington -3.5
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
San Antonio -7.3   Philadelphia 7.2
New York -6.4   Dallas 5.4
Seattle -3.4   Cleveland 4.6
Utah -3.3   Utah 4.1
Dallas -2.9   Minnesota 3.8

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

3+ DAYS REST

 

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY   DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
TOP 5 ∆*   TOP 5 ∆*
New York 4.1   Utah -9.8
Cleveland 2.7   Minnesota -8.3
Philadelphia 2.3   Sacramento -6.6
Toronto 2.1   LA Clippers -6.0
Phoenix 1.1   Philadelphia -5.3
BOTTOM 5 ∆*   BOTTOM 5 ∆*
Detroit -6.8   Detroit 6.1
Charlotte -6.6   Boston 5.9
Sacramento -6.2   Miami 4.2
Golden State -4.1   Indiana 2.5
Indiana -3.9   New York 2.4

*: Efficiency change under the given rest day situation

ABBREVIATIONS

 

  • B2B: teams playing second leg of back to back game sets
  • 3rdIN4: teams playing third game in four nights
  • 4thIN5: teams playing fourth game in 5 nights
  • 1: teams coming up the game w/ one day rest
  • 2: teams coming up the game w/ two days rest
  • 3+: teams coming up the game w/ at least three days rest

 

 




2008 Playoffs Stats


READ ME


Basics of modern basketball statistics lies behind the possession fact which must be considered as the key element to calculate team efficiency. The ball can only change hands four different ways:

(1) by making a shot;

(2) by missing a shot and not getting the offensive rebound;

(3) by turning the ball over; and

(4) by going to the line for two or three shots and either making the last shot or not getting the rebound of a missed last shot.

DEFINITIONS

POSSESSION =(Field Goal Attempts)+(Turnovers)+0.4*(Free Throw Attempts) - 1.07*(Offensive Rebounding Percentage)*(Missed Shots)

PACE is the number of possessions a team uses per game.

OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY is the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions.

DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY is the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions.

CORRELATION is a value between -1 and +1 that describes the degree of relationship between two variables. Defensive correlations are negative because lower defensive efficiency means better defense.

 


 

 

SEASON

season eff

If you don't think the table is updated please try pressing CTRL+F5 in order to get the newer one.

ON THE ROAD

road eff

If you don't think the table is updated please try pressing CTRL+F5 in order to get the newer one.

AT HOME

home eff

If you don't think the table is updated please try pressing CTRL+F5 in order to get the newer one.

LAST 5 GAMES

If you don't think the table is updated please try pressing CTRL+F5 in order to get the newer one.



Want to have the tables in MS Excel? Download the data

 




Power Rankings Chart

 

Basically; if the team is located at:

 

  • right side of the black vertical line: The team has better offense than the NBA league average
  • left side of the black vertical line: The team has worse offense than the NBA league average
  • upper side of the black horizontal line: The team has better defense than the NBA league average
  • lower side of the black horizontal line: The team has worse defense than the NBA league average

 

PLAYOFFS 2008

 

If you don't think the chart is updated please try pressing CTRL+F5 in order to get the newer chart from the server.

 

 

 




Player Efficiency Rating (PER)

PLAYER EFFICIENCY RATING (PER)
RANK PLAYER     PER
1 C.Paul - Nor     37.426
2 D.Nowitzki - Dal     32.572
3 K.Bryant - Lal