Tag: Playoffs
These items have all been tagged with the tag "Playoffs", You can see other tags in the Tag CloudIn terms of probability, the Lakers have more chances than the Celtics have. I'm sorry for those of you who are rooting for C's but, just have a look at history!
The Boston Celtics are 2007-2008 regular season champs with a 66-16 W/L record while Lakers had the third best record in the league. Could regular season champs win the title in the same season? I have looked at previous 30 years and here's what I found briefly:
Isn't it an interesting stat that when Eddie F.Rush officiates a NBA playoff game, home teams win the game with a .900 probability? The only game where road team has beat the home team is on 20th April, Philly beat Detroit. (90-86)
Since then, the home teams are 9-0 when Eddie Rush is the head referee. He also leads the referees in calling fouls against the road teams (54.1% of his fouls were called against road teams so far). These stats can be found under the "Fouls Per Game" tab on the "Referee Stats" section.
Maybe it's not interesting, home teams have dominated the 2008 playoffs, so we can say there's nothing new, but I think the NBA is aware of this situation and Eddie Rush has been assigned to the most critical games for home teams. (for example Game 3 of San-Lal series, Game 3 of of Was-Cle series, etc.)
Despite the small size of samples and postseason is not over, I have made a quantitative analysis of playoff teams. Download the analysis in spreadsheets in case you would like to.
Not to mention the results of the teams who were eliminated in the first round don't tell the whole story since they have played against only one opponent. First of all, let me explain what "4 factors" is.
Now you can download Playoffs 2008's cumulative and game-by-game efficiency data in MS Excel files.
Have fun with it!
Let's see what we'll get after the postseason. Here I go with my series and championship predictions:
Basically; if the team is located at:
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right side of the black vertical line: The team has better offense than the NBA league average
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left side of the black vertical line: The team has worse offense than the NBA league average
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upper side of the black horizontal line: The team has better defense than the NBA league average
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lower side of the black horizontal line: The team has worse defense than the NBA league average
PLAYOFFS 2008
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