Tag: Boston Celtics
These items have all been tagged with the tag "Boston Celtics", You can see other tags in the Tag CloudIn terms of probability, the Lakers have more chances than the Celtics have. I'm sorry for those of you who are rooting for C's but, just have a look at history!
The Boston Celtics are 2007-2008 regular season champs with a 66-16 W/L record while Lakers had the third best record in the league. Could regular season champs win the title in the same season? I have looked at previous 30 years and here's what I found briefly:
Despite the small size of samples and postseason is not over, I have made a quantitative analysis of playoff teams. Download the analysis in spreadsheets in case you would like to.
Not to mention the results of the teams who were eliminated in the first round don't tell the whole story since they have played against only one opponent. First of all, let me explain what "4 factors" is.
(1) by making a shot; (2) by missing a shot and not getting the offensive rebound; (3) by turning the ball over; and (4) by going to the line for two or three shots and either making the last shot or not getting the rebound of a missed last shot. POSSESSION =(Field Goal Attempts)+(Turnovers)+0.4*(Free Throw Attempts) - 1.07*(Offensive Rebounding Percentage)*(Missed Shots) PACE is the number of possessions a team uses per game. OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY is the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions. DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY is the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions. CORRELATION is a value between -1 and +1 that describes the degree of relationship between two variables. Defensive correlations are negative because lower defensive efficiency means better defense.
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Basics of modern basketball statistics lies behind the possession fact which must be considered as the key element to calculate team efficiency. The ball can only change hands four different ways:
DEFINITIONS
SEASON
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ON THE ROAD
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AT HOME
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LAST 5 GAMES
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Want to have the tables in MS Excel? Download the data
Basically; if the team is located at:
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right side of the black vertical line: The team has better offense than the NBA league average
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left side of the black vertical line: The team has worse offense than the NBA league average
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upper side of the black horizontal line: The team has better defense than the NBA league average
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lower side of the black horizontal line: The team has worse defense than the NBA league average
PLAYOFFS 2008
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